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20130211
20130211
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down to 1 1/2 to 2% on a 10-year. fast forward 18 months we've resolved the debt ceiling issues and the fiscal cliff to boot. the ecb has done a 180 on supporting spain. the equity markets have more than fully recovered and yet bonds are still mired down to 1 1/2 to 2%. if this is year people wake up and say rates are too low for the conditions. lori:. lori: do you believe the markets are undervalued. many are near 52-week highs. many all-time highs but you still think there is value? >> we look long term people get obsessed with numbers on the s&p because that is where we peaked back in '99 and 2000. they assumed it was overvalued there because it was overvalued then. in our price matters '99 and 2000 that was 100% overvalued. that happened four times in history. every time that's happened you spend about 12 to 14 years chopping sideways. we're getting to the end of that. on that same 1550 type level we're now thinking it is 10 to 15% undervalued. why would that be? well earnings have more than doubled in that 13-year period. ashley: so where, i'm an investor. i'm getting out o
seems to have pulled the republicans' fangs with respect to the debt ceiling. that's probably the big risk that the market was worried about. >> you made recent changes to your 2013 allocation strategy. some of them are interesting. high volatility u.s. large caps and micro cap stocks. it would seem you're increasing the beta place. when you say u.s. large cap volatile stocks, what do you mean by that? >> well, we believe that there's an evolution in the asset classes that investors are going to be tapping into in the next decade. you know, if you look back over the last 20 years, people spent a lot of time arguing, what was the value stock, what was a growth stock. and a lot of times it was in the eye of the beholder. volatility is a much more objective mesh yasure of what a stock is. you can do very good long term, 80 and 90-year analysis of what this asset class means. and right now, we show high volatility stocks have been beaten down very, very much in the rally, relative to low volatility, sort of bond proxy stocks. that suggests to us that they're one of the best opportunities
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